{"id":6971,"date":"2026-03-09T11:26:04","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T14:26:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informacionoficial.mendoza.gob.ar\/energiayambiente\/?page_id=6971"},"modified":"2026-03-09T11:27:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T14:27:00","slug":"amenzas-y-predicciones","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/informacionoficial.mendoza.gob.ar\/energiayambiente\/1370-2\/amenzas-y-predicciones\/","title":{"rendered":"Amenzas y predicciones"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section fb_built=\u00bb1&#8243; _builder_version=\u00bb4.27.4&#8243; background_color=\u00bbRGBA(255,255,255,0)\u00bb use_background_color_gradient=\u00bbon\u00bb background_color_gradient_direction=\u00bb38deg\u00bb background_color_gradient_stops=\u00bb#ffffff 67%|#0a0000 100%\u00bb background_image=\u00bbhttps:\/\/mza-dicaws-portal-uploads-media-prod.s3.amazonaws.com\/informacion-oficial\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/04\/DJI_0223.jpg\u00bb background_blend=\u00bbscreen\u00bb min_height=\u00bb589px\u00bb custom_margin=\u00bb3px|||||\u00bb custom_padding=\u00bb3px||0px|||\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00bb{}\u00bb theme_builder_area=\u00bbpost_content\u00bb][et_pb_row _builder_version=\u00bb4.27.4&#8243; background_size=\u00bbinitial\u00bb background_position=\u00bbtop_left\u00bb background_repeat=\u00bbrepeat\u00bb max_width=\u00bb2560px\u00bb min_height=\u00bb117px\u00bb custom_margin=\u00bb|auto|-3px|auto||\u00bb custom_padding=\u00bb5px|||||\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00bb0&#8243; global_colors_info=\u00bb{}\u00bb theme_builder_area=\u00bbpost_content\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00bb0&#8243;][et_pb_column type=\u00bb4_4&#8243; _builder_version=\u00bb4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=\u00bbdefault\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00bb{}\u00bb theme_builder_area=\u00bbpost_content\u00bb][et_pb_heading title=\u00bbAMENAZAS Y PREDICCIONES\u00bb admin_label=\u00bbFlora Nativa\u00bb _builder_version=\u00bb4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=\u00bbdefault\u00bb title_level=\u00bbh2&#8243; title_font=\u00bb|300|||||||\u00bb title_text_align=\u00bbleft\u00bb title_text_color=\u00bbgcid-body-color\u00bb title_font_size=\u00bb40px\u00bb min_height=\u00bb42px\u00bb custom_margin=\u00bb||-3px|||\u00bb custom_padding=\u00bb||0px|||\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00bb0&#8243; global_colors_info=\u00bb{%22gcid-body-color%22:%91%22title_text_color%22%93}\u00bb theme_builder_area=\u00bbpost_content\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00bb0&#8243;][\/et_pb_heading][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row column_structure=\u00bb1_3,2_3&#8243; _builder_version=\u00bb4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=\u00bbdefault\u00bb max_width=\u00bb2649px\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00bb{}\u00bb theme_builder_area=\u00bbpost_content\u00bb][et_pb_column type=\u00bb1_3&#8243; _builder_version=\u00bb4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=\u00bbdefault\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00bb{}\u00bb theme_builder_area=\u00bbpost_content\u00bb][et_pb_icon font_icon=\u00bb&#xf4d9;||fa||900&#8243; icon_width=\u00bb200px\u00bb _builder_version=\u00bb4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=\u00bbdefault\u00bb custom_padding=\u00bb|0px||||\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00bb0&#8243; global_colors_info=\u00bb{}\u00bb theme_builder_area=\u00bbpost_content\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00bb0&#8243;][\/et_pb_icon][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=\u00bb2_3&#8243; _builder_version=\u00bb4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=\u00bbdefault\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00bb{}\u00bb theme_builder_area=\u00bbpost_content\u00bb][et_pb_text _builder_version=\u00bb4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=\u00bbdefault\u00bb background_color=\u00bbrgba(255,255,255,0.63)\u00bb custom_padding=\u00bb20px|21px|19px|21px|false|false\u00bb hover_enabled=\u00bb0&#8243; border_radii=\u00bbon|8px|8px|8px|8px\u00bb global_colors_info=\u00bb{}\u00bb theme_builder_area=\u00bbpost_content\u00bb sticky_enabled=\u00bb0&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p>2015 \u2014 Barros, V., Boninsegna, J., Camilloni, I., Chidiak, M., Magr\u00edn, G., &amp; Rusticucci, M. (2015). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/wcc.316\">Climate change in Argentina: Trends, projections, impacts and adaptation<\/a><\/strong>. <em>WIREs Climate Change.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2016 \u2014 Boninsegna, J., Villalba, R., Masiokas, M. H., Cara, L., Salom\u00f3n, M., &amp; Pozzoli, J. (2016). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/304675266_Cambios_Climaticos_y_Recursos_Hidricos_El_caso_de_las_tierras_secas_del_oeste_argentino\">Cambios Clim\u00e1ticos y Recursos H\u00eddricos: Tierras secas del oeste argentino<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Ciencia Hoy.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2020 \u2014 Crespo, S. A., Fernandoy, F., Cara, L., Klarian, S., &amp; Lavergne, C. (2020). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1080\/10256016.2020.1797713\">Snow, glacier and groundwater contribution in the Mendoza River basin<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Isotopes in Environmental and Health Studies.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2019 \u2014 Dussaillant, I., Berthier, E., Brun, F., Masiokas, M., et al. (2019). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41561-019-0432-5\">Two decades of glacier mass loss along the Andes<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Nature Geoscience.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2017 \u2014 Falaschi, D., Lenzano, M. G., Tadono, T., Vich, A. I., &amp; Lenzano, L. E. (2017). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/revistas.unlp.edu.ar\/geoacta\/article\/view\/13593\">Balance de masa geod\u00e9sico de los glaciares del Atuel<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Geoacta.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2009 \u2014 Garreaud, R. (2009). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/adgeo-22-3-2009\">The Andes Climate and Weather<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Advances in Geosciences.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2007 \u2014 Lascano, M., &amp; Villalba, R. (2007). <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.geocities.ws\/infraestructuraterritorial\/Glaciaresandinos1.pdf\">Algunas precisiones sobre el rol de los glaciares en el escurrimiento andino<\/a><\/strong>. <em>CONAGUA 2007.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2009 \u2014 Marengo, J., Jones, R., Alves, L. M., &amp; Valverde, M. C. (2009). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/joc.1863\">Future change of temperature and precipitation extremes in South America<\/a><\/strong>. <em>International Journal of Climatology.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2016 \u2014 Masiokas, M. H., Christie, D. C., et al. (2016). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/tc-10-927-2016\">Reconstructing annual mass balance of Echaurren Norte Glacier<\/a><\/strong>. <em>The Cryosphere.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2010 \u2014 Masiokas, M. H., Villalba, R., et al. (2010). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JHM927.1\">Intra- to Multidecadal Variations of Snowpack and Streamflow<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Journal of Hydrometeorology.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2006 \u2014 Masiokas, M. H., Villalba, R., et al. (2006). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/JCLI3969.1\">Snowpack variations in the Central Andes, 1951\u20132005<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Journal of Climate.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2009 \u2014 Masiokas, M. H., Rivera, A., et al. (2009). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/repositorio.uchile.cl\/bitstream\/handle\/2250\/153302\/Glacier-fluctuations.pdf?sequence=1&amp;isAllowed=y\">Glacier fluctuations in extratropical South America<\/a><\/strong>. <em>PAGES News.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2012 \u2014 Morales, M. S., Christie, D. A., et al. (2012). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/ri.conicet.gov.ar\/handle\/11336\/72837\">Precipitation changes in the South American Altiplano since 1300AD<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Climate of the Past.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2013 \u2014 Nikbakht, J., Tabari, H., &amp; Talaee, P. (2013). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s00704-012-0750-7\">Streamflow drought severity analysis (PNI) in Iran<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Theoretical and Applied Climatology.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2013 \u2014 P\u00e1ez, M. S., Moreiras, S. M., et al. (2013). <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.scielo.org.ar\/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0004-48222013000400004&amp;lng=es&amp;tlng=es\">Flujos de detritos y aluviones hist\u00f3ricos en la cuenca del r\u00edo Blanco<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Revista de la Asociaci\u00f3n Geol\u00f3gica Argentina.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2022 \u2014 Rivera, J. A., Marianetti, G., &amp; Scaglione, M. (2022). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.30827\/cuadgeo.v61i2.23908\">Eventos de precipitaci\u00f3n y agua potable en el Gran Mendoza<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Cuadernos Geogr\u00e1ficos.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2021 \u2014 Rivera, J. A., Marianetti, G., et al. (2021). <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/repositorio.umaza.edu.ar\/handle\/00261\/3144\">Cambio clim\u00e1tico y precipitaciones convectivas en la cuenca alta del Mendoza<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Revista de Investigaciones.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2021 \u2014 Rivera, J. A., Otta, S., et al. (2021). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3389\/frwa.2021.640544\">A Decade of Hydrological Drought in Central-Western Argentina<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Frontiers in Water.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2007 \u2014 Rivera, J. A., Penalba, O. C., &amp; Betollia, M. L. (2007). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar\/download\/paper\/paper_08998418_v33_n4_p834_Rivera.pdf\">Variability of dry days in Argentina<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Revista de la Facultad de Ciencias Astron\u00f3micas y Geof\u00edsicas.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2017 \u2014 Rivera, J. A., Penalba, O. C., et al. (2017). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/w9090652\">2010\u20132015 Extreme Hydrological Drought in the Central Andes<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Water.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2020 \u2014 Rivera, J. A., Naranjo, E., &amp; Viale, M. (2020). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3389\/fclim.2020.587126\">Water Resources Change Under Paris Agreement Warming Targets<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Frontiers in Climate.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2015 \u2014 Aumassannea, C. M., Gaspari, F., et al. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/sedici.unlp.edu.ar\/bitstream\/handle\/10915\/160351\/Documento_completo.pdf-PDFA.pdf?sequence=1&amp;isAllowed=y\">Escenarios clim\u00e1ticos y de expansi\u00f3n agr\u00edcola: efecto sobre el balance de agua en la cuenca del R\u00edo Colorado, Argentina<\/a><\/strong>. <em>INTA \u2013 IDIA21.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2006 \u2014 Boninsegna, J., &amp; Villalba, R. <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/biblioteca.clacso.edu.ar\/clacso\/clacso-crop\/20121219121615\/Escenariosdecambioambientalglobal.pdf\">Los escenarios de cambio clim\u00e1tico y el impacto en los caudales<\/a><\/strong>. Informe a la Secretar\u00eda de Ambiente y Desarrollo Sustentable de la Naci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>2014 \u2014 CEPAL. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/repositorio.cepal.org\/server\/api\/core\/bitstreams\/467e824d-2336-4b29-9b60-0f40b7186df2\/content\">La econom\u00eda del cambio clim\u00e1tico en la Argentina<\/a><\/strong>. Naciones Unidas.<\/p>\n<p>2018 \u2014 CEPAL. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/repositorio.cepal.org\/server\/api\/core\/bitstreams\/af31802f-c445-4c2d-823c-ea71aeb61874\/content\">La econom\u00eda del cambio clim\u00e1tico en Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe<\/a><\/strong>. Naciones Unidas.<\/p>\n<p>2013 \u2014 CIMA. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.argentina.gob.ar\/sites\/default\/files\/mod.clim_.cap7_.pdf\">Cambios clim\u00e1ticos en la regi\u00f3n Andes \u2013 Cambio clim\u00e1tico en Argentina: tendencias y proyecciones<\/a><\/strong>. Gobierno de la Naci\u00f3n Argentina.<\/p>\n<p>2010 \u2014 Agosta Scarel, E. A., &amp; Cavagnaro, M. (2010). <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/sedici.unlp.edu.ar\/handle\/10915\/132261\">Variaciones interanuales de la precipitaci\u00f3n de verano y el rendimiento del cultivo de la vid en Mendoza<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Tesis de grado, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2007 \u2014 M\u00fcller, G. V. (2007). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/joc.1471\">Patterns leading to extreme events in Argentina: partial and generalized frosts<\/a><\/strong>. <em>International Journal of Climatology.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2016 \u2014 Fern\u00e1ndez-Long, M. E., Barnat\u00e1n, I., Dominici, C., &amp; Murphy, G. (2016). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.scielo.org.ar\/pdf\/meteoro\/v41n2\/v41n2a01.pdf\">Informaci\u00f3n agroclim\u00e1tica de las heladas en la Argentina: generaci\u00f3n y uso<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Meteorol\u00f3gica.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2022 \u2014 Balmaceda-Huarte, R., &amp; Bettolli, M. L. (2022). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/joc.7733\">Assessing statistical downscaling in Argentina: Daily maximum and minimum temperatures<\/a><\/strong>. <em>International Journal of Climatology.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2019 \u2014 Collazo, S., Barrucand, M., &amp; Rusticucci, M. (2019). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.wace.2019.100236\">Variability and predictability of winter cold nights in Argentina<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Weather and Climate Extremes.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2012 \u2014 Mezher, R. N., Doyle, M., &amp; Barros, V. (2012). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.atmosres.2012.05.020\">Climatology of hail in Argentina<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Atmospheric Research.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2023 \u2014 Rivera, J. A. (2023). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/ri.conicet.gov.ar\/handle\/11336\/233041\">La sequ\u00eda reciente en el Centro-Oeste argentino<\/a><\/strong>. <em>El Ojo del C\u00f3ndor.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>2020 \u2014 Saavedra, C. (2020). <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.33412\/idt.v16.1.2444\">An\u00e1lisis de anomal\u00edas clim\u00e1ticas para la cuenca del r\u00edo La Villa, Panam\u00e1, basado en los escenarios RCP<\/a><\/strong>. <em>Investigaci\u00f3n, Desarrollo y Tecnolog\u00eda.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2015 \u2014 Barros, V., Boninsegna, J., Camilloni, I., Chidiak, M., Magr\u00edn, G., &amp; Rusticucci, M. (2015). Climate change in Argentina: Trends, projections, impacts and adaptation. WIREs Climate Change. 2016 \u2014 Boninsegna, J., Villalba, R., Masiokas, M. H., Cara, L., Salom\u00f3n, M., &amp; Pozzoli, J. (2016). Cambios Clim\u00e1ticos y Recursos H\u00eddricos: Tierras secas del oeste argentino. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":0,"parent":1370,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-6971","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/informacionoficial.mendoza.gob.ar\/energiayambiente\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/6971","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/informacionoficial.mendoza.gob.ar\/energiayambiente\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/informacionoficial.mendoza.gob.ar\/energiayambiente\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informacionoficial.mendoza.gob.ar\/energiayambiente\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informacionoficial.mendoza.gob.ar\/energiayambiente\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6971"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/informacionoficial.mendoza.gob.ar\/energiayambiente\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/6971\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6974,"href":"https:\/\/informacionoficial.mendoza.gob.ar\/energiayambiente\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/6971\/revisions\/6974"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/informacionoficial.mendoza.gob.ar\/energiayambiente\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1370"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/informacionoficial.mendoza.gob.ar\/energiayambiente\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6971"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}